Modelling the COVID-19 epidemics
These reports are primarily for educational purposes. They cannot replace any national or international guidelines or expertise. In particular, the assumptions made are often deliberately simplified for the sake of clarity.
This work was performed by modellers from the ETE team in the MIVEGEC department (CNRS, IRD, University of Montpellier).
To date, this work has not received any dedicated funding and is designed to be independent from any private or public entity.
- Arpil 9, 2020 : Report 6 (in French for now) using phylodynamics to detect temporal variations in epidemic spread in France. Source files can be downloaded as a .zip file.
- April 7, 2020: Report 5 (in French for now) on the limits and delays in estimating the basic reproduction number in France. Source files can be downloaded as a .zip file.
- March 30, 2020: Report 4 (in French for now) on phylodynamics of the French sequences. Source files can be downloaded as a .zip file.
- March 24, 2020: Report 3 on a model of COVID-19 spread (R0 calculation and control). Source files can be downloaded as a .zip file.
- March 17, 2020: Report 2 on herd immunity and total epidemic size. Raw files and R scripts can be downloaded as a .zip file.
- March 14, 2020: Report 1 on the basic (R0) and efficient reproduction numbers (R) of the COVID-19 epidemics in France (updated on March 31). Raw files and R scripts can be downloaded as a .zip file.
- [preprint] Ramsès Djidjou-Demasse, Yannis Michalakis, Marc Choisy, Mircea T. Sofonea, Samuel Alizon (2020, medRxiv) Optimal COVID-19 epidemic control until vaccine deployment [PDF]
Some useful links about COVID-19 epidemiology
The ETE modeling group ETE
is composed of Samuel Alizon
, Thomas Bénéteau, Marc Choisy
, Gonché Danesh
, Ramsès Djidjou-Demasse
, Baptiste Elie, Yannis Michalakis
, Bastien Reyné, Quentin Richard, Christian Selinger
, Mircea Sofonea
Do not hesitate to contact us
about any lack of details or any question!